1.2 Incidence – how many people have a stroke?

There is great variation in the reported number of strokes as a proportion of the population between different studies. Some of the variation is due to real differences in stroke incidence between different countries and regions. But some of this variation is also due to the different criteria and methods used to collect the data. Despite this some trends do emerge. Table 1 shows that there are major differences in stroke incidence rates across Europe. Some of the highest rates are in Eastern and Northern Europe (Croatia, Estonia, Lithuania, Sweden); and some of the lowest are in Western and Southern European countries (France, Italy, Spain).

This is similar to findings from the European Registers of Stroke project[10]. Large variations in incidence are also seen within countries (e.g. Italy, Spain, Sweden, UK). Possible explanations for these large inter- and intra-country differences include different risk factor profiles (e.g. high blood pressure or cholesterol, smoking, diet, alcohol, exercise), socio-economic and environmental factors (air pollution, deprivation), but also standards of and access to healthcare, leading to different levels of risk factor control, and of acute and long term care.

”I never had before thought about that disease; I had no way of [knowing], nobody in the family had ever had a stroke. I thought everything was fine, and I was relatively young. I was 47.”
(Female stroke survivor, Austria)

 

Table 1: Annual incidence rates of first-ever stroke since 2000 reported by population- based registers in European/SAFE countries, ranked by magnitude of incidence

 

Country / Region or town

 

Study period

 

Incidence rate standardised to the population of

Sweden / Orebro[11] 1999-2000 254 Europe
Lithuania / Kaunas[10] 2004-2006 239 ♂, 159 ♀ Europe
Croatia / north-west area[12] 2007-2009 224 Europe
Portugal / Porto[13] 2009-2011 203 Portugal
Estonia / Tartu[14] 2001-2003 188 Europe
Portugal / Porto[15] 1998-2000 181 Europe
Iceland[16] 2007-2008 177 England & Wales
UK / Oxford[17] 2002-2004 162 England & Wales
Italy / Sicily[18] 1999-2000 154 Europe
Italy / Puglia[19] 2001-2002 150 Europe
UK / South London[20] 2007-2010 150 England & Wales
Spain / multi-centre[21] 2006 147 Europe
Germany / Ludwigshafen[22] 2006-2007 146 Europe
Sweden / Lund-Orup[23] 2001-2002 144 Europe
Poland / Warsaw[10] 2005 147 ♂, 126 ♀ Europe
Poland / Zabrze[24] 2006-2006 131 Europe
Italy / Valley d’Aosta[25] 2004-2005 126 Europe
Germany / Erlangen[26] 2009-2010 127 ♂, 117 ♀ Europe
Ireland / North Dublin[27] 2006 118 World
Spain / Menorca[10] 2004-2006 116 ♂, 66 ♀ Europe
UK / Scotland[28] 1998-2000 110 World
France / Dijon[29] 2000-2006 107 Europe
Italy / Udine[30] 2007-2009 104 Europe
Italy / Siesto Fiorentino[10] 2004-2006 101 ♂, 63 ♀ Europe
France / Brest[31] 2010 84 World
Italy / Valley d’Aosta[32] 2004-2008 80 World

 

Table 2: Annual incidence and case fatality rates (at 1 month) in population-based registers in Europe, ranked by falling, stable, or rising incidence rates

Country /Region or town Population

standardised to

Study period  

Incidence rate per 100,000, or trend

 

Case fatality

Portugal / Porto[13] Portugal 1998-2000 261  
2009-2011 203
UK / Oxford[35] England & Wales 1981-1984 227 17.8%
2002-2004 162 17.2%
UK / London[20] England & Wales 1995-1998 247 25.4% (not published)

14.0% (not published)

2007-2010 150
Germany /

Erlangen[26]

Europe 1995-1996 176 ♂, 130 ♀  
2009-2010 127 ♂, 117 ♀
Estonia / Tartu[36, 37] Europe 1991-1993 230 30%
2001-2003 188 26%
Finland / Turku[38]   1982-1992 Trend -1.8% Trend:

-3.8% ♂, -4.5% ♀

Italy / Valley d’Aosta[25, 32] Europe

 

 

World

1989 177 31%
2004-2005 126 19%
2004-2008 100 16%
Lithuania / Kaunas[39]   1986-2012 Flat trend in

first-ever strokes, increase in recurrences

Trend for ischaemic stroke:

-4.0% ♂, -6.0% ♀

Denmark /

Fredericksberg[40]

World 1972-1974 85  
1989-1990 106
France / Dijon[29, 41] Europe 1985-1989 81 17.8%
2000-2006 107 10.0% (2000-

2004)

Sweden / Lund- Orup[23] Europe 1983-1985 134 15.4%
1993-1995 158 15.4%
2001-2002 144 14.3%
Poland / Warsaw[42] Europe 1991-1992 111 43%
2005 129 14.9%
 

 
Some long-running stroke registers have reported increasing incidence rates. Better diagnosis and case ascertainment due to the increasing use of radiological scans are possible explanations as well as still insufficient prevention efforts[39].